In late 2024, the object 2024 YR4 was discovered, immediately attracting the attention of scientists. Initially, the probability of it colliding with Earth was estimated at 1.2%, but by early 2025, that risk increased to 2.2%. This level of collision risk could lead to significant destruction if the asteroid’s size is considerable. However, precise data on its trajectory and size is still unavailable, as the object was observed at a distance from the planet.
The next close approach of 2024 YR4 to Earth is expected in 2028, when scientists will be able to refine its parameters. The closest approach to the planet is anticipated in 2032, when the collision risk will be highest. In response to this threat, China is creating its own planetary defense team, similar to NASA’s DART mission, which successfully altered the trajectory of the Dimorphos asteroid. The Chinese project’s fast-track recruitment of specialists to address this issue has garnered media attention, highlighting the importance of being prepared for possible collisions.
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